Category: Uncategorized

Sandip Sabharwal - Uncategorized

Downside risks to growth are actually receding

Amongst a feeling of all gloom and doom, especially in the domestic side of the economy where most people believe that India has thrown away an excellent opportunity to attract capital and grow strongly at a time when global liquidity is ample and there are enough opportunities to invest in India be it the infrastructure, […]

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Multiple Whammy’s’

The Indian markets and the way the government and various regulators seem to be working  are clearly testing the patient of most investors at this stage. The year started off with extreme pessimism and cheap valuations and we saw the markets move up sharply over the first few months in the hope of improvement in […]

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THOUGHTS

With the markets not doing much and not much of events going on there was not much to add over the last few weeks. Since I wrote a month back the only major event as far as the domestic scenario goes has been the sharper than expected rate cut by the RBI. The global rally […]

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The bull phase is on

I was too bored to write on the Union Budget with a plethora of analysis available to everyone and also the fact that most of the things were analyzed threadbare by each and every one and in general the budget was taken as neutral to negative. The key figure that most disbelieve is the Fiscal […]

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CORPORATE DEBT RESTRUCTURING ( CDR), ever greening, hiding NPA’s or a viable method

Over the last few months as the economy has continued to stagnate and interest rates have continued to be high we have seen a spate of Corporate Debt Restructuring (CDR) references from Debt laden corporates. For a large number of analysts it was very apparent that this was imminent although the banks continued to feign […]

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The counter view, if the elephant starts moving

Yesterdays election results obviously were not taken positively by the markets as the leading party of the UPA at the centre did not perform well and the goldilocks scenario of the Samajwadi Party having to depend on the Congress for forming a government in Uttar Pradesh did not play out. This has led to apprehensions […]

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Monetary and Government Policy self goals evident – GDP growth at 6.1%

We are aware and it has been discussed ad nauseaum about how the lack of decision making at the government levels has bought the investment cycle at a standstill. I think we will need to discuss more about the same after the 6th of March and the Union Budget. It is obvious that this part […]

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QE’s, LTRO’s, Asset Buying Programs etc. RBI needs to just focus on growth

As we all know the US Federal reserve has created a huge amount of USD liquidity with its quantitative easing policies where more than USD 1 trillion was pumped into the system. This has been accompanied by statements propounding the pledge to keep short term rates near zero for an extended period of time. This […]

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ONLY GROWTH CAN ADDRESS DEFICIT

Over the last few days there has been an increased clamor for controlling the Fiscal Deficit by increasing taxes in the forthcoming Union Budget. In my view raising taxes in a slowing economy is a retrograde step that will create further headwinds for the economy and slow down growth. Indirect tax increases are also inflationary […]

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