Category: Uncategorized

Sandip Sabharwal - Uncategorized

Budget “Read”, on to implementation now

Given the reputation of the Finance Minister there were hopes of big bang announcements in the Union Budget this time. However the budget turned out to be devoid of any major earth shattering announcements both on the negative and positive side. I believe that the two major positives that I saw in the budget were […]

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Some simple budget recommendations to the FM

The Finance Ministry, I am sure must be in an extremely busy state preparing the final Budget documents. It would also be getting hit by a huge number of recommendations from various Lobby groups. I am sure that each industry would be clamoring for incentives for investments, lower taxes, higher import protection etc. On my […]

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Some simple budget recommendations to the FM

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What ails the Indian Markets?

After rallying over the last quarter of the year 2012 on the back of improving global risk appetite and the restart of the stalled economic reform initiatives of the government we have seen that the Indian markets have started to stagnate and underperform global markets over the last few weeks. Although the benchmark indices are […]

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RBI POLICY AND THE RIDICULOUS COMMENTARY OF ARMCHAIR ECONOMISTS

RBI has finally come out with a pro growth policy after realizing its utter helplessness in controlling headline inflation driven by high food & fuel prices and most importantly after taking into account the impact of past adjustments on current inflation. Some examples of past adjustments impacting current inflation figures are – –          Brent crude […]

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From Best to Worst

The worst thing that happens to anyone i.e. fund managers, policy makers, corporates etc is when they get into the delusion that they can do no wrong. Prior success, public praise or huge valuations in the markets space for companies leads them to believe that whatever they are doing is right and they can do […]

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Half a month into the New Year, what’s up?

The New Year has started off on a positive note both locally and globally with most markets etching up moderate gains since the beginning of the year. In the global context the two most important geographies from a sentiment point of view continue to be the Euro zone and the US. Key events in Euro […]

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2013

Wishing everyone for the best of 2013. Sorry for not writing earlier as I was travelling and also was later in the process of writing a detailed market outlook. This outlook can be viewed as a link to the blog post. Since it is big and detailed it is not possible to publish it as […]

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Would inflation have been lower if interest rates were lower? & Market Outlook

Given the kind of stance that RBI has taken over the last two years where they have totally ignored growth concerns while chasing the elusive inflation it is pertinent to try to evaluate if inflation would actually have been lower if RBI had cut rates and eased the liquidity pressures in the economy. The start […]

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Emerging Markets to outperform big time

My view when the markets bottomed out in the month of March 2009 was that the structural issues that the Western economies are facing along with the huge leverage on the balance sheets of various financial institutions will imply below par economic growth combined with low commodity prices and low inflation will imply a huge […]

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