Category: Uncategorized

Sandip Sabharwal - Uncategorized

DESTRUCTIVE DISINVESTMENT

Like most other policy actions of the government the entire process of disinvestment has now become one of destructive disinvestment. Initially when the entire disinvestment programme was launched in a bigger manner under the NDA government the idea was to use potentially positive policy moves to disinvest or sell out companies in a strategic sale […]

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THE BIG UNDERPERFORMANCE

Over the last few days I was thinking of what to write on. As such I thought that it might be apt to start the article from where I left off the last article. The most interesting thing that I found when I was writing the last piece were the very interesting formations that I […]

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Recent events and the Markets

Subsequent to the confirmation by the US Fed that Tapering of Asset Purchases is going to be a reality now we saw the markets sell of sharply. Even prior to the event I had written in my last article that we should not fear FED Tapering but welcome it. The main logic’s being that firstly […]

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DON’T BE AFRAID OF FED TAPERIING, WELCOME IT

Over the last few weeks equity markets world over, especially in the emerging markets have corrected sharply, mainly due to the bogey created around the Tapering of Asset Purchases by the US Federal Reserve and the impact of that on global liquidity as well as flows into emerging markets. Not only have equities sold off, […]

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Does seasonality work in the stock markets

Historically I have never been a believer in stock market seasonality and would typically laugh off comments where people would recommend buying into particular months or selling into others. The most often used seasonal comment in the markets is “Sell in May and go away”. However as I looked at data over the last 4 […]

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IS THE LONG TERM RALLY IN GLOBAL BONDS ACTUALLY OVER, MID MONTH UPDATE

The continued rally in the bonds of developed markets like US, Germany, UK etc has continued to intrigue most analysts over the last few years.  Some of the most prominent and well known bond investors gave a call over two years back that the two decade plus rally in global bonds is over for good. […]

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ARE HIGH INTEREST RATES THE SOLUTION TO INDIA’S CAD PROBLEM

Over the course of the last three monetary policy statements the RBI has shifted the debate away from inflation to the Current Account Deficit. It is apparent that the slowdown in the upward spiral of food prices, the fall in global commodity prices by nearly 15-20% along with the total lack of pricing power with […]

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REVISITING THE THESIS, ONE THIRD INTO THE YEAR

As the year started off, things looked optimistic in the global and Indian context based on several factors. In the Indian context the positivity was primarily based on expectations of a more proactive government on the ground and also an easing of inflationary pressures which would force the RBI to act. In the global context […]

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“Value Creation in India Over The Last Two Decades”.

Value Creation over the long term is always the facet of stock market investing. Most investors who have invested over the long run have made strong returns from their investments. The fall in markets since the stock market peak of 2007 has built a strong conviction in the minds of people that equity is a […]

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DON’T BELIEVE THOSE WHO SAY

THE RUPEE WILL KEEP FALLING – Given the Current Account Deficit situation and the inability of exports to pick up despite the sharp underperformance of the INR against most competing currencies a theory is gaining ground these days that the INR is overvalued and it should fall more to make imports unattractive and exports more […]

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