Normally I would not write a pure technical article. However as per the analysis techniques that I follow it now seems that Gold and Silver are on the verge of a significant decline. On a fundamental basis also I have been very negative on gold and I do believe that we will see much lower […]
Read MoreThere is a great amount of fascination around the levels of the Sensex and the Nifty. Markets are today near their highs of the year 2008 and the general belief is that the markets are expensive, have moved up too sharply and should correct going forward. Around two months back we saw a series of […]
Read MoreThe US Dollar, being the reserve country of the world has enjoyed a benefit which no other country with a huge current account deficit has enjoyed. Over the last 15 years the Fiscal Position of the US has also deteriorated with the Fiscal Surpluses of the late 1990’s now being converted into a huge deficit. […]
Read MoreThe question of why despite easing of policy rates by the RBI, cut in CRR combined with the OMO operations did not lead to a reduction in the interest rates in the economy in terms of translation into lending rate cuts can largely be traced to the high Current Account Deficit. Over the last two […]
Read MoreAs I sit to write this article we are just about six months from the general elections. Elections will be announced by the Election Commission in early March of 2014 and we will have elections running from around the first week of April to the first week of May. As such the effective working life […]
Read MoreThe month of September started off peacefully and then the markets took a turn for the better post the takeover of the RBI’s helm by Raghuram Rajan and subsequently the postponement of Tapering by the US Federal Reserve. At the time of the FED euphoria I had warned that the euphoria seems to be a […]
Read MoreI guess the FED TAPERING or Not Tapering event would have been the most watched show on business channels in India and abroad for the year 2013. As it turned out the FED decided to oblige the Emerging Markets and gave them a breathing space to adjust their policies and get in control of their […]
Read MoreOver the last several weeks the obsession with the INR has grown substantially and with every passing day this has become the topic of discussion and also a source of panic for the equity and bond markets. Given the structural issues related to inelastic imports and elastic exports the policy makers of the country never […]
Read MoreBuying gold has been a tradition in India not only for decades but for centuries. Wearing gold jewellery and gifting the same in marriages is a part of Indian tradition. Over the last 10-15 years there has also been a huge increase in buying of gold in the form of coins and bars for two […]
Read MoreOver the last few weeks we have seen unprecedented volatility in most asset classes. It has become fashionable globally as well as in India to blame everything on ‘FED TAPERING FEARS’. It is most ridiculous that structural problems that face various economies starting right from the United States to Europe to Emerging Economies is being […]
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