Although i hate to go back into the year 2007 in order to explain market behaviour as it exists today, i think it is inevitable as both scenario’s are full of excesses. In 2007 the excesses were on the upside and today they are on the downside. The last quarter of 2007 was a period […]
Read MoreI had written this article a few weeks back, things have changed somewhat since then but i have updated the same and am publishing my views on the issue. I had decided not to publish given the strong response to the revamped TARP and TALF, however given the fact that TALF has been a big […]
Read MoreI still remember the time around 8-9 months back in May – June 2008 when we were seeing an unbridled rise in commodity prices and the US dollar was continuously falling in value. The expert opinion at that point of time was that the collapse of the US Dollar was imminent and the Dollar might […]
Read MoreAfter struggling to bring a semblance of normality into financial markets and preventing downside to economic growth using various measures which include bank bailouts, guarantees on loans given by banks, deposit guarantees, partial and complete nationalization, fiscal stimulus for economic growth revival etc now some central bankers are treading on a much more dangerous path, […]
Read MoreTypically it has been observed over a period of time that as an asset class becomes very popular it is typically a time to avoid that asset class. There are several examples of the same which have come over the last few years. Subprime and mortgage linked assets and their derivatives became very popular since […]
Read MoreGiven the economic data that is coming out of most economies and also the fact that the indian economy looks like slowing down further before it rebound in the second half of the year the near term outlook for stock markets does not look very sanguine.I expect the markets to see a correction of around […]
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