WAVE 3

A number of people keep commenting on the direction of the markets in the long run as well as their views on whether the current move in the markets is the start of a new bull move or a bear market correction. As I have stressed in my earlier articles I clearly believe that it […]

Read More

BULL IN THE WORLD OF TWO CARRY TRADES

I believe that today we are on the threshold of a unique event in the world where there is an opportunity for investors to play via two carry trades alternately and that is something which has been made possible by extremely low short term rates both in the USA and Japan. This is a perfect […]

Read More

The rally flummoxes everyone, including me (who is alleged to be always bullish)

The pace and ferocity of the current rally in the stock markets is unprecedented. If one looks like a market like India the key indices which include the Nifty, Sensex, Mid cap indices etc. have all doubled or more in a period of just around 13 weeks. Like we have repeated a number of times […]

Read More

WARRANTS FOR PROMOTERS, IN WHOSE INTEREST

Over the last few weeks I have increasingly been observing the phenomenon of lot of companies which had issued warrants to their promoters during the hey days of the late 2007 coming out with statements that the promoters have decided not to exercise the warrants. This in my view is a very serious issue which […]

Read More

A most painful rally

Most fund managers tend to prefer rising markets to falling markets, as the former tends to be better for the business in terms of more assets under management, higher fee revenues etc. However the market’s strong move up since early March has been at best a “mixed blessing”: most managers were positioned cautiously early in […]

Read More

RANDOM THOUGHTS

Since I could not think of a specific topic to talk on I just thought that I will talk on some random thoughts I have. Sovereign rating downgrades start – I had written on my blog on the 23rd of April on the Sanctity of Sovereign Ratings where I had argued that the process of […]

Read More

PANIC BUYING

Ah the markets come a full circle. What we saw in the time period of October and November 2008 and subsequently after the Satyam scandal blew out in January to the early part of March 2009 were essentially “PANIC SELLING” and investors wanting to get out of stocks, especially mid caps at any price. Over […]

Read More

Death to the bears, suddenly all bears are looking for horns to wear

All the bears turn bulls, what now ? The weekend turned out to be an amazing one with the political uncertainty coming to an end in the country in just one day. The wide speculations of horse trading, big negotiations to support either the NDA or UPA by smaller formations etc. came to an end […]

Read More

Which way will the Indian economy recover and its impact on the markets

Part II The Indian economy has slowed down in growth from over 9% a year back to the current levels in the region of 5%. The fall in growth has been contributed by various factors like the global economic crisis which has led to a severe fall in confidence as well as availability of liquidity; […]

Read More

Which way will the economy recover?

PART 1 – Brief global overview Over the last few months we have had various forecasts on the way the global economy will grow and stabilize following the sharp downturn in growth over the last one year. There have been various forecasts from professional economic forecasters, IMF etc. etc. on the shape and likely speed […]

Read More