German BUNDS, GOLD point towards a sharp market upmove

Till some time back one had to monitor the movement of the US Government Bonds to find out the risk aversion in the system. However I believe that the German Bunds are a better indicator of the risk aversion or risk taking the markets as today among the developed world the German economy is the […]

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Can the weak economic data from the US derail the markets ?

Over the last couple of weeks we have seen concerns from the Eurozone reduce and the news flow from that part of the world has become less and less negative. Most the countries in the Eurozone that have had issues related to their ability to borrow and replace their earlier borrowings have been able to […]

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The way ahead

As expected the markets have held on well and have continued to climb the wall of worry as is the case in bull markets. Most investors are still unconvinced and the biggest concern is valuations although everyone is confident of the growth trajectory of India. The IMF over the weekend upped the forecast growth for […]

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How decoupling will play out

I find the hypothesis difficult to digest that all markets will remain coupled for all times to come. I have always maintained that decoupling plays out over a longer time frame and in the short run due to the linkages of the financial markets the movement of asset classes across countries tend to be linked […]

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Markets seem to have more upside, specially the broader market

Writing after a long time now mainly because I was unwell for some time and then went out for a holiday to Hong Kong and China. I think markets behaved just fine when I was out and helped me have a stress free holiday. As I had written in an article around a month back […]

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Wage inflation in China – A Golden opportunity for India

The recent episodes of wage inflation in China are very interesting in the perspective of the fact that China is today the factory of the world and the control of inflation in most parts of the Western world over the last decade or more has been fuelled by cheap outsourcing out of China and the […]

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The worst time to increase retail fuel prices – but a good time to decontrol

The talk of an increase in retail fuel prices has gained ground over the last few days and todays EGOM meeting is likely to affect the changes. Although the increase in fuel prices is taken as a reformist measure I believe that the increase in fuel prices at this point of time is a bad […]

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What will drive the markets higher

Over the last few days this has been the question which I have been asked the most and a vast majority of market participants seem to believe that there is no trigger for the markets to move up from where they are today. I believe that the triggers for a market upmove are far greater […]

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Which way will the markets go – 2004 or 2008 ?

Over the last few days as the markets have corrected by over 10% in most parts of the world the question that is coming in everyone’s mind is about the likely extent of the current correction and the shape it will take. Frankly I missed out on the current correction as my outlook was to […]

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The risks of investing into the Stanchart IDR

Without going into the merits of the Standard Chartered Bank IDR issue as far as fundementals are concerned I would like to point out two risks of investing into the issue which investors should be aware of. Risk 1- This is the bigger of the two risks where essentially investors who are putting money into […]

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