Panic at its peak and markets looking to climb the wall of worry

The last couple of months have been amazing in terms of the amount of negative news they have generated right from the slowdown of the US economy and the volatility due to delay in passage of the Debt limit to the actual US downgrade. This was followed by increased pressure on troubled Euro zone countries […]

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Come September after the August Mayhem

The month of August started off with the downgrade in the Sovereign rating of the USA which led to a severe sell off in most of the global markets. There was a flight to safety and as a result of which we saw US Government Bonds, German Bunds and precious metals rally significantly. Gold prices […]

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DECIPHERING RBI’s INFLATION BOGEY

I have wanted to carry out this analysis for a long time now and the criticism of a lot of people that I do not understand economics and I need to go back to school to learn the subject has prompted me to write this article. As I went about analyzing the data I became […]

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MID MONTH MARKET REVIEW

As the month of August started off, my view was that the level of the Nifty at around the 5200 levels should hold unless and until some catastrophic event takes place. Unfortunately for all of us such an event took place right at the start of the month with the downgrade of the credit ratings […]

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DECOUPLING STAGE II

At various stages of the markets when the global financial markets tend to be linked to each other on a day to day basis most investors lose focus on the fact that over the long run higher growth economies with better growth prospects and earnings growth will outperform on a sustainable basis. However the key […]

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Decoupling Stage II

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Evaluating the US Downgrade

The much awaited downgrade of USA’s credit rating took place today morning. The event was imminent the question off course was when and in line with the way market shaking news has a habit of happening in quick successions it has happened today. With the US Government debt moving up to levels of 100% of […]

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RBI – Wrong prescription & diagnosis, results & markets

For the second time in three months RBI’s monetary policy announcement has led to a breakdown in the build up of a positive trend in the markets. A 25 basis points increase would have led to the continuation of the rally and we should have seen markets at around 6000/6100 for the Nifty by August […]

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All roads lead to Rome

As the ancient saying goes, that is what has been happening in the financial markets since the beginning of the current month. After Greece, Portugal and Ireland got downgraded to Junk the speculators have now trained their guns on Italy and Spain, as a result of which we have seen extreme volatility in the financial […]

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Looking Bullish

The month of June turned out to be a very interesting one for the markets where the markets sold off in the early part of the month due to negative news flow on global markets as well as the biggest concern over the last few months i.e. inflation. In the middle of the month there […]

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