HOW (NOT) TO MANAGE A CONTRA FUND

In general Contra funds have disappointed investors over a period of time with their below average performances. The first Contra fund in the mutual fund industry in India was launched by SBI Mutual Fund when I used to work there and I managed the fund for several years. Looking at the performance of the fund […]

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Buy the Pre NAMO rally to ride the Post NAMO rally

I am writing after a long time as there was little I found that I could add subsequent to what I had written the last time. As expected we are in the midst of a preelection rally, which I had expected to move to around the 22000 Sensex and 6500 Nifty levels. These levels are […]

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CHINA WILL NOT CREATE THE NEXT GLOBAL CRISIS-NO DOOMSDAY IMMINENT

Over the last few weeks and months huge amount of media has been generated on this topic where lot of arm chair economists are using some ratios of credit to GDP, fixed capital formation and fuzzy data on the wealth management products in China in order to forecast that China is going to collapse and […]

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India is no Fragile country. India is much better off

Over the last few days as we have seen a selloff in several EM currencies there has been renewed talk of an acronym “Fragile 5” coined by Morgan Stanley. India being part of this group of countries which includes Turkey, Brazil, South Africa and Indonesia is one of the most absurd things that I have […]

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If you have one last wish for India, ask for MODI not KEJRIWAL

AAP’s Economic Logic, Not Good for India The germination of AAP as an offshoot from the Anna Anti Graft movement has raised a lot of expectations in the minds of the Indian Middle Class and the poorer class due to the pain that they have suffered in the hands of the Ultra Corrupt UPA government […]

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The Collapse of Private Investment in India- Reviving the Cycle

The revival of the investment cycle will require a concentrated attention from the new central government. High fiscal deficit has reduced their abilities to provide incentives or contributions for investments. Under the circumstances they need to facilitate by removing hurdles on projects rapidly. Poor capacity utilizations in industries like Capital Goods, Cement, and Automobiles etc […]

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PROFITING FROM MUTUAL FUNDS PART 3

In the first two parts of the series I talked about the various kinds of mutual funds and about Equity MF schemes. Now let’s come to the fixed income part of the Mutual Funds. Now the fixed income part of the mutual funds essentially serves the purpose of treasury management of companies and in the […]

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COLLAPSE OF THE INVESTMENT CYCLE-ROLE OF THE CORPORATES

Over the last 5 years we have seen a collapse of private investments in India. Gross Capital formation which moved from levels of 20-22% of GDP in the late 1990’s till 2003 peaked out at 34% in 2009-10 and has since come down to 28%. The fall in Private sector investments has been sharper and […]

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7654, 25678 OR THEREABOUTS

As I sit to write my prognosis for the year 2014 I am also looking back at the last two years and how the forecasts went. My view at the height of pessimism at the end of the year 2011 was that the markets would rise by 25% in the year 2012. The forecast turned […]

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PROFITING FROM MUTUAL FUNDS PART II

I hope that the first article of profiting from mutual funds was found to be interesting by readers. The purpose of these articles is educational to start with and then in later episodes I will get into evaluating individual schemes and fund houses too. Now as we talked of the last time that there are […]

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