Raghuram Rajans last interest rate action has taken a lot of people by surprise. The jury is still out on whether the rate cut 40 days before the scheduled policy and at a time when the Union Budget was inflationary in general was called for. As I seen things the main reason for the cut […]
Read MoreAs the budget speech started and Part I of the speech wound down I actually thought that it was Mr Chidambaram speaking and not Mr Jaitley. However Part 2 did wave me up from the slumber and increased the rating of the budget substantially. THE GOOD First of all the thing that pleased me the […]
Read MoreBUDGET AND THE MARKETS, REALLY? The annual season of pre-budget expectations and discussions around how this budget is going to be trend setting for the Indian Markets and the Indian Economy have been buzzing for the last few weeks now. After having watched Budgets being presented as I have been working in the field of […]
Read MoreIt has been an interesting visit by US President Obama. To be frank my expectations about the outcome were not very clear however a lot seem to have been achieved which could lead to much greater investment into India and defence cooperation. Setting up of a hotline between the Indian PM and US President as […]
Read MoreDespite there being a huge number of both public and private sector banks in India the entire banking industry works as a big oligopoly. The interest rate transmission mechanism is very poor and transparency even more so despite several efforts by the RBI to improve the same. This is extremely high in the case of […]
Read MoreAfter being extremely bullish right through the phase prior to the start of 2014 and more specifically after Raghuram Rajan took over as RBI Governor I turned cautious on the markets in September/October when the markets were around 8000 levels. Infact I still remember being in a TV interview the day markets hit a peak […]
Read MoreWe have, in general heard of a large number of successful investors who have made lot of money by investing right over long periods of time. However we rarely hear of very successful traders. Some of the successful ones have done very well but that has been out of discipline and taking positions that […]
Read MoreAs we come to the end of an amazing year for India to forecast what lies ahead this year is more difficult than it was for the year 2014. The longer term picture is very much intact as I had put in my presentation a few weeks back. However the year 2015 is somewhat difficult […]
Read MoreECONOMIC ACCELERATION & DECELERATION IMPACT IS LONG TERM As chickens are coming home to roost in the Junk Bond Markets in the US the threat of a contagion impact across asset classes is now increasing. The fall in crude oil prices was welcomed as a positive development as till now it has created a massive […]
Read MoreIn the first part of the article I had illustrated the issues facing the Indian Economy. Now I come to solutions that are critical both for the short run as well as the long run. Growth and only growth is the fix to India’s Fiscal Deficit problem in the long run. Now besides creating an […]
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