DECIPHERING THE TARIFFS GAMBIT

  The much-awaited Liberation Day arrived two days ago, and the scale of tariffs imposed globally has taken many by surprise. The impact of these measures—both direct and indirect—is complex and not easily decipherable. They ripple across industries, countries, and supply chains. For instance, a company may not export directly to the USA but could […]

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Tariffs, Market Trends, and the Stock Market Outlook

The Indian stock market made a sharp recovery in March despite ongoing volatility linked to global tariff concerns. After a steep decline in the first two months of the quarter—primarily driven by Foreign Institutional Investor (FII) outflows—March saw a reversal, helping the Nifty end the quarter flat. Similarly, the rupee remained stable, while government bonds […]

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Making Sense of the Market Mayhem

The month of February was a tough one for the Indian stock markets, with significant cuts across the board in both large-cap indices as well as small and mid-caps. While the initial reaction to the Union Budget was positive—given the significant tax break provided to the middle class, which is expected to boost consumption next […]

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RESULTS COMMENTARY AND MARKET OUTLOOK

We are now coming to the end of the third quarter earnings season. Earnings in general have been subdued except for a few stocks and sectors that have stood out. Results of companies are finally a derivative from the growth of the economy in general and as economic growth has slowed down so has the […]

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CRYSTALGRAZING 2025

As we start of the new year there are a large number of dynamics at play which will determine the course of the Stock Markets in the year 2025. As we look back the year 2024 was one of two halves (atleast in the Indian Context). The first half saw a strong rally which ignored […]

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NOVEMBER REVIEW AND STOCK MARKET OUTLOOK

The Month of November was a volatile month for the markets with wide fluctuations and the markets correcting nearly 12% from the top before bouncing back somewhat. Finally for the month the markets ended down by 0.31% and the Midcap Index was flat. The key event of the month was obviously the US Presidential Markets […]

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STOCK MARKET ANALYSIS AND OUTLOOK OCTOBER 2024

The month of September was a surprisingly bullish month for the markets driven by easing action by the US Federal Reserve, Stable economic growth parameters and finally economic revival measures announced by the Chinese authorities which added to the positive sentiments. FII flows picked up significantly during the month of September and crossed the entire […]

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STOCK MARKET AUGUST DEVELOPMENTS AND OUTLOOK

The month of August was an extremely volatile month for the stock markets where the markets initially sold off due to the sharp yen appreciation and unwinding of the Yen carry trade and then immediately bounced back to end flat to positive for the month. The spike in volatility in the initial part of the […]

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THE YEAR THAT WAS AND MARKET OUTLOOK 2024

As they say markets surprise you all the time. After a volatile and moderate performance till October Indian Markets along with most of the other global markets took off at October end and the Nifty rallied by 14% over the last two months itself. Most global markets ex of China also performed strongly and many […]

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IMPROVING OUTLOOK STOCK MARKET OUTLOOK JUNE 2023

The month of May saw the markets continue with the momentum of April and the rally became more broadbased. Annual results season tends to create volatility around results of specific companies which is something we cannot escape, however in many cases where the longer term outlook is good any bad result creates buying opportunities. During […]

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