MARKETS ARE NOT CHEAP IN BULL MARKETS

If you want to buy cheap please wait for the next bear market, stocks will be very cheap then, but you will not want to buy. This is possibly not the right sentence to start the article however when I am continuously bombarded by questions like, markets are at a PE of 28 now it […]

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THE ECONOMY WILL DO JUST FINE

I read too many brokerage reports who are commenting on 2019 elections and want investors to make strategies based on a possible outcome which they are trying to forecast. Factually that is essentially unforecastable and as such taking an Investment Decision based on that is foolish at best. In my view irrespective of who wins […]

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GOLDEN ERA OR TO THE DARK AGES

The Indian Economy after going through a phase of resurrection today is placed for a strong growth revival over the next few years. Most of the pain related to Bank NPA’s, Poor Consumer demand as well as a lack of investments is now behind us and despite new macro concerns related to a potential pick […]

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THE MACRO CONUNDRUM

I had not written a blog article since the beginning of 2018 as the movement of the markets were more or less in line with my expectations of a Sell Off in February/March driven by global factors. The script played out exactly as expected. The only thing that came up separately was Mr. PNB which […]

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OUTLOOK 2018

The year 2017 was  a good year for Indian Investors after subdued returns of the last two years. The broad market indices rallied by around 28% with significant Alpha generation from selective stock picking which we also successfully did. The year started off with a great amount of scepticism (always good for the markets) due […]

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MAKING SENSE OF THE NOISE AROUND US

Over the last few days we have seen a selloff in the stock markets and from initially blaming it on the North Korean crisis the narrative has slowly shifted to “Poor Economic Growth”, mostly by people who now see there being a divergence between the performance of the Indian markets and the rest of the […]

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Market Outlook for rest of 2017

The markets are up by around 20% for this year. Economic growth has been muted amidst strong macros like a stable currency, low inflation, low interest rates and comfortable government finances. Many think markets are in a bubble zone. Really? bubble zone when markets are up just 25% over the last 3 years. Its the most […]

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Timely action more important than post event actions

I have been getting several Whatsapp posts of the way many schools in Mumbai handled the rain fury of 29th of August and the fact that teachers stayed with students through the night to take care of them, how parents waded through neck deep water to reach stuck school buses etc. While commendable these also […]

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BIHAR TO 2023 THE BIG BULL MARKET

Markets have been doing well as I have expected over the last several months. I have been bullish since the time of Budget 2016 and demonetization was an opportunity to pick up high quality stocks rather than sell them off. While most people keep on focussing on trying to identify the “MARKET TOP” and are […]

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STOCK MARKETS WHERE TO NOW

The markets have confounded sceptics and done very well for the first half of this year after two years of subdued returns. Besides international events that were supposed to be disruptive we have seen that markets have handled demonetization and the GST transition very well. Today we stand amidst a mixed global growth picture and […]

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